Sports betting can be quite profitable if an individual know the strategies the particular “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that clever money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a perfect example. My spouse and i analyzed this Western world Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had often the edge in the sport. However , I also recognized that there initially were a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This game features all the signals of being one of the very best games associated with the year, having both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from becoming down massive in the next fraction to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the overall game appear like this year?

In the event this video game were appearing played with some sort of neutral field, West Virginia will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. Inside UFABETเว็บแม่ -5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 PATH games.

These are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, this extra added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like much, but in a shut match-up such as this, that more point will make the change between some sort of push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your house since 12 eighteen, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. four points per game at home, while hitting only quitting 15. 7 points for every game at home. In case you failed to do the mathematics, that means given that his or her last home reduction they already have averaged beating his or her adversaries by simply about thirty four things per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by 13 details per activity at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Many of those stats were being built up during the 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They also have acquired recent games in which they also have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Kentkucky E. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still some sort of close video game to get in touch with. Yet the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off this specific game and not necessarily wager at all. There are usually better video games this weekend with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for a new TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big they may possibly still win right after building so many mistakes. By not betting on that match, people severe about gambling saved money many people can put to better make use of on coming games.